Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -213 UNT +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -4.1 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -3.8 (+10.2) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -4.2 (+9.8) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -4.8 (+9.2) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -3.6 (+10.4) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#68) | 7.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | 0.76 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#60) | 1.27 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#92) | 0.522 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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