You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
(4) Kansas Jayhawks
68 89
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(5) Gonzaga Bulldogs
Delta Center (Neutral) · March 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread GONZ -3.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money KU +155 / GONZ -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual GONZ +21 157 Lost
Massey GONZ -1.6 (-19.4)
Massey Totals 151.5 (+5.5)
Bradley-Terry 53%
Weighted B-T 44%
Baseline Plus ML KU -0.1 (-21.1) 148.3 (+8.7) 45%
Model 4 ML GONZ -0.9 (-20.1) 147.7 (+9.3) 41%
Model 3 ML GONZ -1.0 (-20.0) 147.3 (+9.7) 44%
Baseline ML GONZ -2.3 (-18.7) 146.0 (+11.0) 41%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2020 GONZ 10290 KU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU GONZ
Overall 23-11 27-8
Conference 10-8 14-2
Home 15-1 13-2
Away 3-7 8-2
Neutral 4-3 6-4
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.3 83.4
Avg Pts Against 70.3 69.5
Massey 14.5 (#19) 16.2 (#16)
Bradley-Terry 2.47 (#13) 2.36 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.86 (#19) 3.08 (#13)
RPI 0.609 (#13) 0.597 (#21)
Shooting & Four Factors KU GONZ
FG% 48.8% 51.1%
3PT% 33.3% 35.9%
REB / G 35.9 38.4
OREB / G 8.0 10.7
AST / TO 1.60 1.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.8% 56.8%
TOV% 16.7% 14.1%
ORB% 25.2% 33.4%
FT Rate 24.1% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 16.2%
DRB% 73.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 18.8%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.