Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -275 WSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -8.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -6.9 (+4.1) | 128.5 (-5.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -5.8 (+5.2) | 126.8 (-3.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.3 (+4.7) | 128.6 (-5.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -6.5 (+4.5) | 128.4 (-5.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#5) | 12.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#4) | 2.11 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#5) | 2.38 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#18) | 0.578 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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