Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -200 JMU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.6 (-15.6) | 146.4 (-13.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WIS -4.7 (-15.7) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WIS -4.5 (-15.5) | 146.6 (-13.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.3 (-15.3) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#21) | 9.4 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#25) | 2.11 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#23) | 2.33 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#37) | 0.563 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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