Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -500 DUQ +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -10.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -6.6 (-10.6) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -7.5 (-11.5) | 140.9 (-2.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -6.6 (-10.6) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -6.6 (-10.6) | 140.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#10) | 6.5 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#30) | 1.57 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#33) | 1.80 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#53) | 0.588 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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