Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -8000 LBSU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -17.2 (+2.8) | 158.8 (-8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -17.8 (+2.2) | 160.8 (-10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -19.5 (+0.5) | 159.3 (-9.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -19.6 (+0.4) | 158.5 (-8.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 22.3 (#2) | -0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#13) | 0.26 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#11) | 0.22 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#5) | 0.499 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.