Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -400 UCI +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -7.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.5 (+2.5) | 150.5 (+8.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -7.8 (+1.2) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -7.7 (+1.3) | 149.9 (+9.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.9 (+2.1) | 151.2 (+7.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#39) | 7.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#75) | 1.23 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#74) | 1.51 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#76) | 0.571 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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