Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -1800 UTC +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -16.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -9.7 (+2.3) | 141.2 (+18.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -13.0 (-1.0) | 139.6 (+20.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | SMC 87 – 66 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 15-3 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-1 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#197) | -2.7 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#98) | -0.31 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#122) | -0.44 (#204) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 27.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 17.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 45.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 40.7% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 7.8% |
Game Analysis
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