Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -30.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SMU -50000 FAMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMU +29 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -32.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -28.1 (+0.9) | 150.8 (+24.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -22.2 (+6.8) | 152.2 (+22.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-6 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#48) | -9.4 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#96) | -0.31 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#54) | -0.47 (#235) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | — |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | — |
| REB / G | 35.0 | — |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | — |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | — |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.7% | — |
| TOV% | 17.7% | — |
| ORB% | 39.4% | — |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | — |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | — |
| Opp TOV% | 30.9% | — |
| DRB% | 71.0% | — |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.8% | — |
Game Analysis
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