What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
UNF Arena · November 8, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNF -7.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money UNF -360 / CHSO +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNF win
Actual UNF +24 156 Won
Massey UNF -27.8 (-3.8)
Massey Totals 149.4 (+6.6)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Tuned ML UNF -13.1 (+10.9) 145.3 (+10.7) 87%
Baseline ML UNF -15.0 (+9.0) 146.2 (+9.8) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 18, 2025 CHSO 11390 UNF
Nov 10, 2023 UNF 8170 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNF CHSO
Overall 15-17 10-22
Conference 8-10 6-10
Home 8-6 7-5
Away 7-10 3-14
Neutral 0-1 0-3
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L3 L5
Avg Pts For 80.9 70.1
Avg Pts Against 85.7 78.8
Massey 6.9 (#32) -3.1 (#186)
Bradley-Terry 2.09 (#8) -0.31 (#170)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.78 (#9) -0.44 (#207)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors UNF CHSO
FG% 42.0% 40.0%
3PT% 34.5% 44.0%
REB / G 43.0 34.0
OREB / G 15.0 11.0
AST / TO 1.11 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 51.0%
TOV% 13.0% 25.8%
ORB% 34.9% 28.9%
FT Rate 8.7% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 57.7%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 9.9%
DRB% 75.7% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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