Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -235 STBK +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -32.5 (-33.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -14.8 (-15.8) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -17.1 (-18.1) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | STBK 78 – 55 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#28) | -7.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#4) | -0.31 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#7) | -0.46 (#229) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 10.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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