I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Ted Grant Court · December 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LEM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money LEM -120 / BING +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total LEM win
Actual BING +10 134 Lost
Massey LEM -6.2 (-16.2)
Massey Totals 149.5 (-15.5)
Bradley-Terry 69%
Weighted B-T 79%
Efficiency Plus ML LEM -2.8 (-12.8) 143.2 (-9.2) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML LEM -3.6 (-13.6) 142.5 (-8.5) 65%
Baseline ML LEM -4.1 (-14.1) 144.5 (-10.5) 68%
Baseline Plus ML LEM -4.8 (-14.8) 143.3 (-9.3) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 LEM 7863 BING
Dec 9, 2023 BING 9179 LEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LEM BING
Overall 9-23 15-17
Conference 4-12 7-9
Home 6-7 9-4
Away 2-16 5-12
Neutral 1-0 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L5 L3
Avg Pts For 71.9 68.6
Avg Pts Against 81.4 73.0
Massey -7.9 (#303) -9.3 (#318)
Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#292) -1.35 (#285)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.31 (#294) -2.62 (#307)
RPI 0.427 (#291) 0.429 (#288)
Shooting & Four Factors LEM BING
FG% 42.1% 44.7%
3PT% 29.1% 36.7%
REB / G 33.6 32.9
OREB / G 8.7 7.8
AST / TO 0.97 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 51.9%
TOV% 20.0% 21.8%
ORB% 23.4% 23.7%
FT Rate 26.4% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 49.4%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 12.8%
DRB% 63.1% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 29.1%

Game Analysis

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