Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -900 TXSO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +16 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -11.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.9 (+5.1) | 150.5 (+7.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.7 (+6.3) | 150.3 (+7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -10.2 (+5.8) | 150.8 (+7.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -11.0 (+5.0) | 151.6 (+6.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SHSU 82 – 70 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#200) | -8.6 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | -2.27 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#215) | -3.50 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#174) | 0.453 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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