This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
CHI Health Center Omaha · December 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -10.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CREI -600 / UNLV +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +18 148 Won
Massey CREI -11.6 (+6.4)
Massey Totals 145.3 (+2.7)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML CREI -10.6 (+7.4) 142.0 (+6.0) 82%
Baseline ML CREI -10.1 (+7.9) 140.4 (+7.6) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -9.8 (+8.2) 142.9 (+5.1) 82%
Efficiency Plus ML CREI -10.5 (+7.5) 146.3 (+1.7) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2023 UNLV 7964 CREI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI UNLV
Overall 25-11 18-15
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 15-2 12-5
Away 6-6 5-7
Neutral 4-3 1-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.5 69.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 68.1
Massey 8.3 (#72) 1.5 (#139)
Bradley-Terry 1.42 (#72) -0.18 (#190)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.49 (#64) -0.10 (#170)
RPI 0.537 (#117) 0.487 (#189)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI UNLV
FG% 45.7% 44.9%
3PT% 32.5% 37.8%
REB / G 41.4 33.6
OREB / G 9.2 9.4
AST / TO 1.28 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.2% 52.0%
TOV% 19.0% 16.7%
ORB% 27.4% 28.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 32.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.4% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 12.3% 19.5%
DRB% 73.0% 65.8%
Opp FT Rate 13.3% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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