Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -1600 MORE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -13.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -10.5 (+1.5) | 146.8 (+17.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -11.0 (+1.0) | 148.4 (+15.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.3 (+1.7) | 148.1 (+15.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -9.4 (+2.6) | 147.2 (+16.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -9.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#215) | -0.91 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#203) | -2.01 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#190) | 0.442 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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