Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +135 NAVY -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | NJIT -0.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NJIT -0.3 (+4.7) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -1.2 (+3.8) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -1.5 (+3.5) | 139.9 (-6.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -0.7 (+4.3) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NAVY 86 – 70 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#351) | -9.8 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#350) | -2.19 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.56 (#340) | -2.80 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.324 (#360) | 0.344 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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