Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +110 QUC -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -5.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -5.7 (-8.7) | 144.6 (+14.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -4.1 (-7.1) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -4.0 (-7.0) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -2.7 (-5.7) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#298) | -8.2 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#249) | -1.68 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#235) | -2.32 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#247) | 0.421 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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