Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | VT +340 PITT -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +5 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -15.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -12.3 (+7.3) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -12.7 (+7.7) | 138.1 (-15.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -11.4 (+6.4) | 138.9 (-15.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -11.0 (+6.0) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | PITT 79 – 64 VT |
| Feb 18, 2023 | VT 79 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | VT 74 – 47 PITT |
| Feb 6, 2022 | VT 76 – 71 PITT |
| Feb 4, 2021 | PITT 83 – 72 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#218) | 17.0 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#253) | 3.04 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#225) | 4.57 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#242) | 0.702 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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