Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | IU -3000 M-OH +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | IU -15.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -12.7 (+6.3) | 148.4 (-15.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -13.5 (+5.5) | 151.1 (-18.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -13.0 (+6.0) | 149.9 (-16.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -15.1 (+3.9) | 149.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2022 | IU 86 – 56 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#52) | -0.7 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#71) | 1.09 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#73) | 1.21 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#58) | 0.522 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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