You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -7.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money CAM +300 / DEL -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual DEL +6 130 Lost
Massey DEL -8.3 (+2.3)
Massey Totals 134.5 (-4.5)
Bradley-Terry 19%
Weighted B-T 9%
Baseline ML DEL -7.0 (+1.0) 137.3 (-7.3) 22%
Baseline Plus ML DEL -7.9 (+1.9) 137.0 (-7.0) 22%
Efficiency Plus ML DEL -7.4 (+1.4) 134.7 (-4.7) 23%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -7.5 (+1.5) 135.7 (-5.7) 22%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2025 DEL 7962 CAM
Feb 15, 2025 CAM 9691 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM DEL
Overall 14-18 19-14
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 11-6 8-5
Away 3-11 8-6
Neutral 0-1 3-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 72.3
Avg Pts Against 73.9 69.7
Massey -9.1 (#315) 3.2 (#121)
Bradley-Terry -2.03 (#329) 0.17 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.48 (#326) 0.66 (#133)
RPI 0.367 (#352) 0.494 (#183)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM DEL
FG% 42.7% 45.7%
3PT% 31.7% 33.7%
REB / G 30.9 34.9
OREB / G 7.3 9.5
AST / TO 0.81 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 51.7%
TOV% 19.8% 15.1%
ORB% 23.8% 27.7%
FT Rate 30.0% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 17.5%
DRB% 67.4% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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