Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -320 UND +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -12.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.9 (-3.9) | 146.0 (+22.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -9.2 (-3.2) | 145.8 (+22.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -9.1 (-3.1) | 144.3 (+23.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.8 (-3.8) | 144.7 (+23.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | EWU 76 – 60 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#170) | -7.9 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#256) | -0.78 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#198) | -1.70 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#249) | 0.427 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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