Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -4000 NJIT +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -17.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 111.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -11.5 (-0.5) | 126.1 (-3.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -11.9 (-0.9) | 127.8 (-4.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -11.0 (+0.0) | 128.6 (-5.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -16.4 (-5.4) | 127.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 3-13 |
| Home | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Away | 0-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -13.9 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#224) | -2.80 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#222) | -3.40 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#227) | 0.335 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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