Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | KC -175 IDHO +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -4.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -1.6 (-6.6) | 133.6 (+25.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -2.5 (-7.5) | 136.5 (+22.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.5 (-7.5) | 136.6 (+22.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -2.8 (-7.8) | 136.2 (+22.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#314) | -8.1 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#335) | -1.40 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#337) | -1.83 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#351) | 0.408 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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