Georgia Tech
Yellow Jackets
64
–
72
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Nevada
Wolf Pack
Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | GT +192 NEV -235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -8.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -6.3 (-1.7) | 142.0 (-6.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -7.3 (-0.7) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -6.4 (-1.6) | 138.9 (-2.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -6.5 (-1.5) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#128) | 11.6 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#60) | 3.03 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#64) | 3.61 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#48) | 0.624 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 35.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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