Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -4500 NWST +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +41 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -20.3 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -16.3 (+24.7) | 140.2 (+8.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -14.7 (+26.3) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -15.7 (+25.3) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -16.3 (+24.7) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#119) | -12.0 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#87) | -3.12 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#91) | -4.12 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#31) | 0.363 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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