Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -3500 IUIN +1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +36 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -25.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -20.1 (+15.9) | 141.2 (+24.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -21.9 (+14.1) | 140.9 (+25.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -23.0 (+13.0) | 141.4 (+24.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -24.3 (+11.7) | 140.6 (+25.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 2-18 |
| Home | 16-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#87) | -14.9 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#155) | -2.62 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#129) | -3.63 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#164) | 0.360 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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