Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -34.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -35.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -24.3 (-6.3) | 147.8 (-17.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -23.9 (-5.9) | 147.9 (-17.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -30.7 (-12.7) | 148.5 (-18.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -29.6 (-11.6) | 149.3 (-19.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#11) | -14.2 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#20) | -3.38 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#17) | -4.30 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#8) | 0.332 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 62.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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