Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -1000 DSU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -14.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -11.4 (+1.6) | 150.6 (+22.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -12.0 (+1.0) | 148.2 (+24.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -12.7 (+0.3) | 149.4 (+23.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -12.6 (+0.4) | 150.4 (+22.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | DSU 75 – 72 DEL |
| Nov 16, 2023 | DEL 78 – 67 DSU |
| Dec 8, 2022 | DEL 77 – 69 DSU |
| Dec 3, 2021 | DEL 59 – 48 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#210) | -11.9 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#182) | -2.03 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#181) | -3.03 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#206) | 0.435 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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