Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -32.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -23.7 (-5.7) | 139.9 (+8.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -24.2 (-6.2) | 138.8 (+9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -29.4 (-11.4) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -29.9 (-11.9) | 137.0 (+11.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#21) | -14.6 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#46) | -2.99 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#45) | -4.09 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#36) | 0.375 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 25.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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