Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +240 TEM -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -1.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -3.2 (-1.8) | 156.3 (-5.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -0.4 (-4.6) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.2 (-4.8) | 152.6 (-1.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -0.8 (-4.2) | 158.6 (-7.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#195) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#134) | 0.60 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#164) | 0.49 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#146) | 0.545 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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