Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -5000 JKST +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -14.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -13.4 (-5.4) | 149.8 (-9.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -12.5 (-4.5) | 153.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -11.5 (-3.5) | 150.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -11.0 (-3.0) | 151.0 (-11.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#269) | -14.5 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | -2.00 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#175) | -2.73 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#156) | 0.467 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 61.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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