Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TULN -340 SELA +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +4 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -2.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -2.6 (-6.6) | 140.9 (-2.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -2.2 (-6.2) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -2.5 (-6.5) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -4.4 (-8.4) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | TULN 70 – 67 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#232) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#306) | -0.79 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#297) | -1.33 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#323) | 0.460 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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