Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -1000 UNO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +33 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -11.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -10.1 (+22.9) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -9.5 (+23.5) | 144.5 (+16.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -9.2 (+23.8) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -10.6 (+22.4) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | -5.7 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#267) | -1.45 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#248) | -2.45 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#256) | 0.418 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.