Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | OKST +300 CREI -385 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -8.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -5.7 (-8.3) | 143.9 (+0.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.7 (-9.3) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.5 (-8.5) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.0 (-9.0) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#153) | 15.2 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#276) | 2.13 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#261) | 3.54 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#298) | 0.592 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 8.8% |
Game Analysis
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