Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -1200 GASO +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +14 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-40.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -15.5 (-1.5) | 140.8 (-32.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -15.8 (-1.8) | 141.4 (-33.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -14.6 (-0.6) | 140.9 (-32.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -18.5 (-4.5) | 139.0 (-31.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#58) | -3.2 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#7) | -0.10 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.48 (#6) | -0.96 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.681 (#14) | 0.432 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 37.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 40.0% |
Game Analysis
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