Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UL -125 NICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -2.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.1 (-0.9) | 147.9 (+3.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -0.5 (-0.5) | 146.7 (+4.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -0.5 (-0.5) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -0.8 (-1.8) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-12 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#346) | -4.3 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#347) | -2.29 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#344) | -3.32 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#261) | 0.437 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 57.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.6% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.