Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | USM +125 MILW -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USM +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -1.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.5 (+2.5) | 149.4 (-18.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.5 (+2.5) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.7 (+2.7) | 149.6 (-18.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -3.0 (+4.0) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | USM 90 – 84 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#323) | -2.0 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#328) | 0.22 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#324) | 0.29 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#359) | 0.491 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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