Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +170 TA&M -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -5.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.2 (-0.8) | 151.4 (+6.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.0 (-1.0) | 148.4 (+9.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.4 (-0.6) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.2 (+0.2) | 148.5 (+9.5) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#95) | 10.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#87) | 1.44 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#97) | 2.68 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#112) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 45.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 18.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 45.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.