Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | KENT +220 UCI -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +12 | 90 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -9.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (-38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.4 (-7.6) | 125.3 (-35.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.3 (-5.7) | 123.9 (-33.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.7 (-7.3) | 127.2 (-37.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -4.7 (-7.3) | 124.8 (-34.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#123) | 12.5 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#36) | 3.30 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#41) | 4.63 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#51) | 0.649 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 82.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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