Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +164 WASH -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -7.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.2 (-1.8) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.2 (-2.8) | 139.8 (+11.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.1 (-1.9) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -4.6 (-2.4) | 141.9 (+9.1) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | RUTG 89 – 85 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#143) | 11.8 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#114) | 1.21 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#120) | 1.88 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#185) | 0.528 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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