Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -410 DEL +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -9.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -6.4 (-8.4) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FIU -6.8 (-8.8) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | FIU -6.8 (-8.8) | 144.0 (-10.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -6.7 (-8.7) | 144.5 (-10.5) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#187) | -7.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#227) | -1.43 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#220) | -1.57 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#217) | 0.430 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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